Wednesday, January 28, 2009

OUTLOOK ON INDIAN ECONOMY

OUTLOOK ON INDIAN ECONOMY


  • Infrastructure spending happening ($450million)

  • Consumption story remains intact (Disposable income rising 70% population less than 35years)

  • GDP growth stronger (9.40%, average 8.24% for the last three years)

  • Agricultural growth will lead to strong rural demand

  • Corporate profit (Earnings around 25%)

  • Standard & Poor, FITCH, Moody’s have upgraded India from speculative to investment

  • Foreign Exchange Reserves at $251billion, India fifth country in world

  • Per Capita Income increased at 7.6%

  • Saving rates have increased to 32.4% and investments have increased by 33.8%

  • Revenue deficit 1.5% of GDP

  • Fiscal deficit 3.3% vs. the estimation of 3.8%

  • Manufacturing sector grows from 8.7% to 11.3% in the last three years

  • 70% of India’s population below 35years of age

  • Highest amount of English speaking graduates in the world

  • High Disposable Income rising which ensures continuous demand

  • Indian Economy diamond shaped which means middle class segment is the key to sustained growth

  • Full capital account convertibility on cards

  • Sectoral caps on FDI to be liberalized

  • Hedge funds may be allowed

  • Private equities making entry in big way


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